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November 17, 2014

NATO:  Danger to World Peace

By Immanuel Wallerstein

Source:  Agence Global

The official mythology is that between 1945 (or 1946) and 1989 (or 1991), the United
States and the Soviet Union (USSR) confronted each other continuously — politically,
militarily, and above all ideologically. This was called the "cold war." If it was a war, the
word to underline is "cold" since the two powers never engaged in any direct military
action against each other throughout the entire period.

There were however several institutional reflections of this cold war, in each of which it
was the United States, and not the USSR, that took the first step. In 1949, the three
western countries occupying Germany combined their zones to create the Federal
Republic of Germany (FRG) as a state. The Soviet Union responded by restyling its
zone as the German Democratic Republic (GDR).

In 1949, NATO was established by twelve nations. On May 5, 1955, the three western
powers officially ended their occupation of the FRG, recognizing it as an independent
state. Four days later, the FRG was admitted to membership in NATO. In response to
this, the USSR established the Warsaw Treaty Organization (WTO) and included the
GDR as one of its members.

The treaty establishing NATO was supposed to apply only within Europe. One reason
was that the western European countries still had colonies outside of Europe and did
not wish to allow any agency to have the authority to interfere directly in their political
decisions concerning these colonies. The moments of seemingly tense confrontation
between the two sides — the Berlin blockade, the Cuban missile crisis — all ended
with a status quo ante outcome. The most important invocation of the treaties to
engage in military action was that of the USSR to act within its own zone against
developments they deemed dangerous to the USSR — Hungary in 1956,
Czechoslovakia in 1968, Poland in 1981. The United States intervened politically
under similar circumstances, such as the potential entry of the Italian Communist
Party into the Italian government.

This brief account points to the real objective of the cold war. The cold war was not
meant to transform the political realities of the other side (except in some moment
very far into the future). The cold war was a mechanism for each side to keep its
satellites under control, while maintaining the de facto agreement of the two powers
for their long-term partition of the globe into two spheres, one-third to the USSR and
two-thirds to the United States. Priority was given by each side to the guarantee on
the non-utilization of military force (especially nuclear weapons) against each other.
This came to be known as the guarantee against "mutually assured destruction."

The collapse of the USSR in two stages — the withdrawal from eastern Europe in
1989 and the formal dissolution of the USSR in 1991 — should have meant in theory
the end of any function for NATO. Indeed, it is well known that, when President Mikhail
Gorbachev of the USSR agreed to the incorporation of the GDR into the FRG, he was
given the promise that there would be no inclusion of the WTO states into NATO. This
promise was violated. Instead, NATO took on a new role entirely.

After 1991, NATO bestowed on itself a role of world policeman for whatever it
considered appropriate political solutions to world problems. The first major effort of
this type occurred in the Kosovo/Serbia conflict, in which the US government threw its
weight behind the establishment of a Kosovo state and a change in regime in Serbia.
This was followed by other such efforts — in Afghanistan in 2001 to oust the Taliban,
in Iraq in 2003 to change regime in Baghdad, in 2014 to fight the Islamic State (ISIS)
in Iraq and Syria, and in 2013-2014 to support so-called pro-Western forces in

In point of fact, using NATO itself turned out to be difficult for the US. For one thing,
there were various kinds of reluctances of NATO member states about the actions
undertaken. For another thing, when NATO was formally involved, as in Kosovo, the
US military felt constrained by the slow political decision-making about military action.

So, why then the expansion of NATO instead of its dissolution? This had once again
to do with intra-European politics, and the desire of the US to control its presumed
allies. It was in the Bush regime that the then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld
talked of an "old" and a "new" Europe. By old Europe, he was referring especially to
the French and German reluctance to agree with US strategies. He saw the western
European countries as moving away from their ties to the United States. His
perception was in fact correct. In response, the US hoped to clip the wings of the
western Europeans by introducing eastern European states into NATO, which the US
considered more reliable allies.

The conflict over Ukraine illuminates the danger of NATO. The US has sought to
create new military structures, obviously aimed at Russia, under the guise that these
were meant to counter a hypothetical Iranian threat. As the Ukrainian conflict played
on, the language of the cold war was revived. The US uses NATO to press western
European countries to agree with anti-Russian actions. And within the US, President
Barack Obama is under heavy pressure to move "forcefully" against the Russian so-
called threat to the Ukraine. This combines with the large hostility in the US Congress
to any accord with the Iranians over nuclear development.

The forces in the United States and in western Europe who are seeking to avoid
military folly risk being overtaken by what can only be called a war party. NATO and
what it symbolizes today represents a severe danger because it represents the claim
of western countries to interfere everywhere in the name of western interpretations of
geopolitical realities. This can only lead to further, highly dangerous, conflict.
Renouncing NATO as a structure would be a first step towards sanity and the world's

Immanuel Wallerstein, Senior Research Scholar at Yale University, is the author of
The Decline of American Power: The U.S. in a Chaotic World (New Press).

Copyright ©2014 Immanuel Wallerstein